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Subject: Re: Flash plug-in figures ? ....
From: John Dowdell
Date: Tue, 10 Mar 1998 14:41:58 GMT

At 4:06 PM 3/8/98, Steve Whistler wrote:
>Can anyone help me with some figures on how many web users have the
>plug-in?

Surely... try http://www.macromedia.com/shockwave/ and click on the
"Shockwave Distribution" article.

As Ajay notes it's easy to count some things, such as the 23 million Flash
downloads from the Macromedia site alone in 1997, but harder to count other
things, such as the number of replacement engines and upgrades. (It's even
hard to tell how many computers there are in use in the world.)

Figuring that Disney and Microsoft and RealNetworks and AOL also distribute
Flash online, and that most Macs and PCs have Shockwave on their OS discs,
and that there's also distribution on the browser CDs too, I've seen
installed base estimates from ten to eighteen million.

Then again, because it's easy to designate alternate content with
Aftershock, the point's a bit moot, too.

(If you're measuring the current technographics of a particular
sub-audience, then you can make a page now which does a Flash-detection
routine and which submits the result to a CGI routine on your server. This
will let you measure the current abilities of the current audience.)

jd







John Dowdell, Macromedia Tech Support, San Francisco CA US

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