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Subject: Re: UKNM: RE: A Sad day
From: Ray Taylor
Date: Mon, 23 Oct 2000 19:04:36 +0100

James Closs <j [dot] clossatbitbull [dot] com> said:

> >Dotcom failures fail for the same reason any other business fails:
> >
> >1. Spend too much money too quickly
> >2. Don't earn enough (or any) money quickly enough
> >3. Fail to plan for either of the above and/or fail take action when it
> >happens
>
> This is a massive over-simplification.
>

Is it? Try testing the theory against any recent dotcom failures. If it
works, it is not an over simplification. If (whatever your complicated
alternative is) works too, then your complicated theory is an
over-complication. Which is great if you are a consultant and being paid by
the hour.

However, if you have any business plans you would like me to invest in, I am
afraid I will prefer my over-simplification to your over-complication.

> Many of the recent 'failures' will have not planned to be profitable
> until after second round funding stage. Their investors will have
> said to them 'sure - we can raise you second round funding, even if
> we don't stump up the cash we're really well connected in the city
> etc etc'.

More fool them, then, for believing in the absurd. Stupid people who start
up businesses deserve to fail. I'm being too harsh? Maybe I am, but any
smart people among them will realise they have made a stupid mistake (we all
do it some times) and learn from it. The really stupid (and endlessly
boring) will moan about it not being their fault.

> Then when second round comes the investors panic and bail
> (largely as a response to market situation rather than any
> incompetence on the part of the company involved). It's no surprise
> that a company that wasn't planning to be profitable by this stage is
> then scuppered.

So basically, they took a complete gamble on the assumption that there would
be no downturn in tech share prices. And at a time when everyone over the
age of seven was predicting that there would be one! That gets them first
prize in the stupid people of the year competition in the land of stupid.

> Sad thing is, it's a domino effect. Sure, there's a good many
> screw-ups going down the tubes, but there's also a good many
> potentially decent businesses being dragged down with them.

It's a jungle out there! Keep a hold of your bananas!

Mr Simple.


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  Re: UKNM: RE: A Sad day, James Closs

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  Re: UKNM: RE: A Sad day, James Closs

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