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Subject: Re: FLASH: (OT) Broadband availability predictions
From: Max Johnson
Date: Sat, 5 Aug 2000 03:14:56 +0100

In regards to a previous discussion about how many people already do have and
will have high-speed Internet access in the future.
In newly published article online, research made by Forrester Research predicts
the following:

By 2005 ADSL will be the technology of choice IN EUROPE, accounting for 53 per
cent of the market.
27 million European homes, or 18 per cent of the population, will have broadband
access as competition in the market pushes prices down.
Subscription will match the US levels, being fastest in Scandinavia, where
penetration is expected to reach between 36-40 per cent. The Netherlands and
Germany will follow closely behind at 28 and 25 per cent penetration
respectively.
The UK will draw a fairly respectable 20 per cent of the population into the
broadband fold, but France will only manage a technophobic 11 per cent, analysts
said

Read the entire article here:
http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/1/12358.html

In the USA however, research made by Morgan Stanley Dean Witter predicts that by
2009, the 61 million Internet users who use dial-up modems will outnumber the 31
million and 29 million connecting via DSL and cable, respectively.

Fritz McCormick, an analyst with Boston-based Yankee Group predicts that of the
39 million households online NOW, fully 38 million (97%) use traditional modems,
and that most households new to the Internet will use dial-up initially, unable
to justify a more expensive broadband connection.

/ Max

________________________________________________
Max Johnson | www.MaxJohnsonOnline.com/ | 310.308.1409





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