Re: FLASH: Shockwave and Flash

[John Croteau]

Hi All,


> On the subject.... more than 35% of browsers have to be using Flash...

> AOL 4.0 is shipping with it now too.


The number of current Internet users worldwide is estimated to about 100

million. By the end of the year 2000, most analysts predict that that

number will jump to 200 million. Almost all new browsers added from now

on will include Flash so that by 2001 half the market will have had

Flash 3 or later installed with their new browsers with no effort at all

on their part. And with more people upgrading to Flash every day by the

year 2001 virtually no one will be Flashless. So even if most of your

market is not Flash ready now it will be soon.


I am very glad I am a Flash Developer.

Good work and Thank you MM.


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> In fact it is likely that 50% or more of web surfers on the web at any

> time have the Flash plugin now. This is because users who spend more time

> on the web are more likely to have the Flash plugin or ActiveX control

> installed. So the actual number of Flash capable browsers may be 35% of

> Web users (estimated at 100 million Web users worldwide), the actual

> percentage of surfers actually surfing with Flash at any particular time

> is likely to be much higher.


> If anyone has a high traffic non-Flashed site where a Test of Flash

> browsers could be run please let me know. The test would be a single

> forms button that would do a simple JavaScript/VBScript test if a

> browser was Flash capable or not and a second test with a small Flash

> Movie for the 15% or so that are untestable with script. If script

> testable a single click will submit the statis automatically. If not

> script testable then the user would answer if he sees the monkey or not

> (or some other easily identified object). Very low bandwidth and very

> quick.

> If done correctly we could have a statistically correct answer on how

> many surf with Flash 3 or Flash 2.


> ----------------------------------------------------------------

> 14.5% of Web surfers are using a browser

> than comes with Flash 3 pre-installed.

>    11%   Win and Mac 4.05-4.07 versions

>     3.5% Win and Mac 4.5 versions

> These numbers are growing fast one month ago this was about 6.3%.

> ------------------------------------------------------------------


-----------                               -----------------------

John Croteau

croteauerols [dot] com (mailto:croteauerols [dot] com)

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